Auktora

climate science

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

rewards-20-4pt5-50 · climate-science

↑500100%
↑1k100%
↑2k100%
+ 10 altri →
$7.9M Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2027

New pandemic in 2026?

pandemics · climate-science

94%No
$1.1M Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2027

When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?

europe · drought

October 1 - 31, 202653%
No return before November 1, 202631%
September 15 - 30, 202614%
+ 1 altri →
$32.5K Vol · Closes Nov 1, 2026

When will the Danube River return to normal levels?

europe · drought

September 15 - 30, 202646%
October 1 - 31, 202634%
Does not return by November 1, 202616%
+ 2 altri →
$49.5K Vol · Closes Nov 1, 2026

How low will Lake Mead drop?

water · drought

Below 1,028 ft46%
1,028–1,033 ft45%
1,033–1,038 ft7%
+ 1 altri →
$21.2K Vol · Closes Apr 15, 2027

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

climate-science · ipo

Anthropic55%
SpaceX46%
xAI26%
+ 71 altri →
$6.0M Vol · Closes Dec 31, 2026

When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026?

weather · climate

No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 202667%
September 21 to September 25, 202619%
September 26 to September 30, 202612%
+ 3 altri →
$15.1K Vol · Closes Oct 1, 2026

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

climate-science · spacex

91%No
$205.3K Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2027

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

weather · climate

Fay38%
Gonzalo21%
Hanna20%
+ 17 altri →
$27.0K Vol · Closes Dec 2, 2026

Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in September

weather · new-zealand

102 km/h or above35%
90 to 101 km/h34%
89 km/h or below3%
$789 Vol · Closes Oct 1, 2026

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

weather-science · science

177%
222%
30%
+ 3 altri →
$3.4M Vol · Closes Dec 31, 2026

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

weather · climate-science

14–1652%
17–1924%
11–1314%
+ 4 altri →
$1.5M Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2027

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

climate-science · weather

98%No
$142.0K Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2027

Human moon landing in 2026?

tech · pop-culture

98%No
$2.0M Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2027

Will the TFFF reach $10 billion in 2026?

world · brazil

71%No
$472 Vol · Closes Jan 16, 2027

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

climate-science · earthquakes

155%
037%
316%
+ 3 altri →
$1.2M Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2027

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

earthquakes · weather

96%No
$318.1K Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2027

Will there be a power grid emergency before October 1?

energy · weather

Midwest (MISO)100%
New York (NYISO)8%
Central US (SPP)6%
+ 4 altri →
$26.3K Vol · Closes Oct 2, 2026

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

earthquakes · science

99%No
$816.4K Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2027

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

elon-musk · tech

63%No
$122.1K Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2027
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