Auktora

fed

Fed Decision in June?

economic-policy · jerome-powell

No change96%
25 bps decrease4%
25 bps increase1%
+ 2 altri →
$15.5M Vol · Closes Jun 17, 2026

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

trump · politics

Kevin Warsh99%
Judy Shelton0%
Michelle Bowman0%
+ 32 altri →
$47.2M Vol · Closes Oct 31, 2026

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

business · fed-rates

0 (0 bps)57%
1 (25 bps)18%
2 (50 bps)13%
+ 10 altri →
$22.2M Vol · Closes Dec 31, 2026

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

politics · jerome-powell

June 3099%
May 3199%
May 1691%
+ 3 altri →
$2.8M Vol · Closes May 14, 2026

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

trump · fed

June 3099%
May 1593%
May 10%
$1.2M Vol · Closes May 15, 2026

Fed Decision in July?

fomc · economic-policy

No change89%
25 bps decrease8%
25 bps increase3%
+ 2 altri →
$4.5M Vol · Closes Jul 29, 2026

Fed rate cut by...?

fed · jerome-powell

December Meeting47%
October Meeting32%
September Meeting29%
+ 5 altri →
$1.6M Vol · Closes Jun 17, 2026

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

fed · trump

December 3150%
May 306%
$237.0K Vol · Closes Dec 31, 2026

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

jerome-powell · macro-indicators

↓ 3.5%100%
↓ 3.25%50%
↓ 3.0%24%
+ 18 altri →
$1.4M Vol · Closes Dec 31, 2026

Fed rate hike in 2026?

fed · economic-policy

83%No
$978.3K Vol · Closes Dec 9, 2026

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

trump · geopolitics

US x Iran Ceasefire100%
New Supreme Leader of Iran100%
Fed Rate Cut1%
+ 1 altri →
$224.5K Vol · Closes Oct 31, 2026

Fed Decision in September?

fomc · economy

No change84%
25 bps decrease20%
25 bps increase8%
+ 2 altri →
$3.8K Vol · Closes Sep 16, 2026

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

jerome-powell · politics

May 15–2296%
May 23–291%
May 30–June 51%
+ 6 altri →
$71.8K Vol · Closes Jul 3, 2026

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

jerome-powell · economy

058%
223%
322%
+ 2 altri →
$2.1K Vol · Closes Jun 17, 2026

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

politics · trump

100%No
$192.1K Vol · Closes May 15, 2026

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

fed · parlays

Pause–Pause–Pause95%
Pause–Pause–Cut4%
Other2%
+ 6 altri →
$1.0M Vol · Closes Jun 17, 2026

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

fed-rates · economic-policy

3.75%52%
3.5%17%
3.25%14%
+ 12 altri →
$6.5M Vol · Closes Dec 9, 2026

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

politics · trump

May 31100%
June 3099%
May 1683%
+ 1 altri →
$30.2K Vol · Closes Jun 30, 2026

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

jerome-powell · federal-reserve

December 3120%
June 3012%
$13.9K Vol · Closes Dec 31, 2026

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

politics · congress

Thom Tillis100%
Kevin Cramer98%
John Kennedy94%
+ 4 altri →
$95.4K Vol · Closes Jun 30, 2026
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