geopolitics

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
iran · politics
September 3098%
September 1898%
September 498%
+ 2 altri →
$3.2M Vol · Closes Sep 30, 2026

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
iran · trump
December 3162%
October 3140%
September 3017%
+ 17 altri →
$28.5M Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2027

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
main-election · israel-election
Gadi Eizenkot53%
Benjamin Netanyahu30%
Naftali Bennett9%
+ 25 altri →
$37.4M Vol · Closes Dec 31, 2026

Putin out as President of Russia by...?
putin · geopolitics
June 30, 202713%
December 31, 20266%
September 30, 20261%
+ 2 altri →
$24.4M Vol · Closes Jul 1, 2027

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
iran · israel
September 3095%
September 2593%
September 1892%
+ 7 altri →
$747.7K Vol · Closes Sep 30, 2026

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
iran · israel
July 18100%
July 20100%
July 22100%
+ 21 altri →
$30.0M Vol · Closes Dec 31, 2026

Israel closes its airspace by...?
politics · geopolitics
September 3097%
May 80%
May 310%
+ 16 altri →
$30.7M Vol · Closes Oct 1, 2026

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
politics · ships
$11.7M Vol · Closes Dec 31, 2026

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?
oil · iran
September 3044%
September 151%
$169.4K Vol · Closes Oct 1, 2026

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
iran · trump
March 31, 202757%
December 31, 202639%
October 31, 202621%
+ 9 altri →
$11.3M Vol · Closes Mar 31, 2027

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
politics · houthi
December 3122%
October 3114%
September 305%
+ 9 altri →
$13.8M Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2027

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
politics · russia
December 31, 202770%
November 30, 202767%
October 31, 202766%
+ 15 altri →
$7.6M Vol · Closes Jul 1, 2027

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
oil · iran
$8.6M Vol · Closes Sep 30, 2026

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?
iran · toll
December 3131%
October 3119%
September 306%
+ 3 altri →
$3.0M Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2027

NATO x Russia military clash by...?
nato · trump-presidency
December 3126%
October 3117%
December 31, 20250%
+ 3 altri →
$6.8M Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2027

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
military-strikes · politics
$66.1M Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2027

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
iran · trump
October 3144%
September 3025%
September 2111%
+ 6 altri →
$2.4M Vol · Closes Oct 31, 2026

Houthis enter Aden by...?
oil · iran
December 3137%
October 3124%
September 3014%
$144.0K Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2027

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 7?
oil · iran
35-3999%
25-291%
40+0%
+ 3 altri →
$120.5K Vol

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
iran · trump
Steve Witkoff31%
Jared Kushner28%
Abbas Araghchi28%
+ 17 altri →
$612.1K Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2027
Caricamento 60 mercati…