Auktora

politics

Fed Decision in September?

fomc · economic-policy

25 bps increase56%
No change41%
25 bps decrease2%
+ 2 altri →
$9.7M Vol · Closes Sep 16, 2026

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

ethiopia · elections

Abiy Ahmed96%
Gedion Timothewos2%
Alesa Mengesha1%
+ 30 altri →
$265.0M Vol

Presidential Election Winner 2028

president · united-states

JD Vance20%
Marco Rubio13%
Gavin Newsom11%
+ 125 altri →
$674.9M Vol · Closes Nov 7, 2028

Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?

trump · pop-culture

Joe Biden100%
Barack Obama100%
Nicolás Maduro100%
+ 24 altri →
$978.5K Vol · Closes Today

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

trump · mexico

July 311%
June 300%
$1.6M Vol · Closes Today

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

gaza · geopolitics

December 31, 202664%
December 310%
November 300%
+ 3 altri →
$2.8M Vol · Closes Dec 31, 2026

Brazil Presidential Election

politics · macro-election-2

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva64%
Flávio Bolsonaro25%
Renan Santos8%
+ 29 altri →
$117.0M Vol · Closes Oct 4, 2026

Iran leadership change by...?

politics · iran

June 30, 202731%
December 3122%
September 309%
+ 7 altri →
$21.7M Vol · Closes Dec 31, 2026

Elon Musk # tweets July 28 - August 4, 2026?

pop-culture · politics

240-25922%
220-23919%
260-27919%
+ 23 altri →
$1.1M Vol · Closes in 4 days

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

military-strikes · politics

77%No
$51.0M Vol · Closes Dec 31, 2026

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

politics · ships

100%No
$23.5M Vol · Closes Today

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

united-states · elections

Gavin Newsom19%
Jon Ossoff14%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
+ 125 altri →
$1.2B Vol · Closes Nov 7, 2028

Elon Musk # tweets July 30 - August 1, 2026?

pop-culture · politics

65-8963%
40-6421%
90-11414%
+ 7 altri →
$314.7K Vol · Closes Today

Israel closes its airspace by...?

politics · geopolitics

August 3125%
August 1512%
July 311%
+ 15 altri →
$25.6M Vol

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

crypto · trump

76%No
$3.5M Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2027

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

politics · houthi

December 3119%
September 3013%
August 316%
+ 7 altri →
$8.9M Vol

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?

oil · iran

August 317%
August 151%
$4.7M Vol · Closes Aug 31, 2026

Elon Musk # tweets July 31 - August 7, 2026?

pop-culture · politics

220-23916%
200-21914%
240-25914%
+ 23 altri →
$364.8K Vol · Closes in 7 days

What will Trump say during Cabinet Meeting?

trump · pop-culture

Biden / Obama 10+ times100%
Iran / Israel 10+ times100%
Transgender100%
+ 18 altri →
$234.0K Vol · Closes Today

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

iran · trump

December 3187%
October 3180%
September 3069%
+ 6 altri →
$2.1M Vol · Closes Aug 31, 2026
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