Auktora

science

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

aliens · politics

December 314%
September 300%
April 300%
+ 3 altri →
$67.7M Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2027

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

tech · spacex

October 3197%
Super Heavy booster explodes?93%
September 3088%
+ 8 altri →
$645.1K Vol · Closes Jul 1, 2027

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

rewards-20-4pt5-50 · climate-science

↑500100%
↑1k100%
↑2k100%
+ 10 altri →
$7.9M Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2027

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

ai · math

December 31, 202768%
December 31, 202645%
September 30, 202615%
$133.4K Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2028

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

ai · math

Hodge Conjecture40%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer29%
No solution by Dec 31, 202727%
+ 3 altri →
$127.1K Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2028

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

ai · math

December 31, 202774%
December 31, 202648%
September 30, 202617%
$211.2K Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2028

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

ai-regulation · politics

83%No
$117.1K Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2027

New pandemic in 2026?

pandemics · climate-science

94%No
$1.1M Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2027

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

ai · math

050%
128%
214%
+ 3 altri →
$62.7K Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2027

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

ai · math

December 31, 202770%
December 31, 202641%
September 30, 202612%
$53.8K Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2028

Precipitation in London in September?

science · weather

<30mm42%
30-40mm26%
40-50mm15%
+ 4 altri →
$14.0K Vol · Closes Oct 1, 2026

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

pop-culture · spacex

December 31, 202766%
June 30, 202754%
December 31, 20264%
$993.4K Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2028

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

pop-culture · science

December 31, 202830%
December 31, 202713%
December 31, 20265%
$342.8K Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2029

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

ai · math

Hodge Conjecture38%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer33%
Beal's Conjecture27%
+ 11 altri →
$11.1K Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2027

Precipitation in Seattle in September?

science · weather

1-1.5"33%
<1"23%
1.5-2"19%
+ 4 altri →
$12.1K Vol · Closes Oct 1, 2026

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

climate-science · ipo

Anthropic55%
SpaceX46%
xAI26%
+ 71 altri →
$6.0M Vol · Closes Dec 31, 2026

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

climate-science · spacex

92%No
$205.3K Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2027

Precipitation in NYC in September?

science · weather

3-4"38%
2-3"20%
4-5"20%
+ 3 altri →
$7.5K Vol · Closes Oct 2, 2026

Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

ai · math

December 31, 202839%
December 31, 202719%
December 31, 20266%
$12.1K Vol · Closes Jan 1, 2029

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

weather-science · science

177%
224%
30%
+ 3 altri →
$3.4M Vol · Closes Dec 31, 2026
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