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Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

$0.5M Vol··21 commenti·Closes Aug 1, 2026

Storia probabilità — 5 candidati

Top 5 per probabilità · finestra 7G

Candidati

JD Vance$102.0K Vol100%

Donald Trump$130.1K Vol100%

Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf$0.1K Vol89%

Shehbaz Sharif$27.2K Vol45%

Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani$13.5K Vol44%

Abbas Araghchi$27.4K Vol37%

Steve Witkoff$20.5K Vol22%

Masoud Pezeshkian$17.3K Vol18%

King Abdullah II$15.5K Vol16%

Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah$9.0K Vol14%

Mohammed bin Salman$5.8K Vol12%

Marco Rubio$18.2K Vol11%

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa$12.3K Vol9%

Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan$2.8K Vol7%

Benjamin Netanyahu$35.2K Vol5%

Mojtaba Khamenei$16.5K Vol5%

Abdel Fattah el-Sisi$9.7K Vol3%

Pete Hegseth$33.6K Vol3%

Recep Tayyip Erdogan$10.7K Vol2%

Ali Larijani$15.5K Vol0%

Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A …

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